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And The Oscar (Nomination) Goes To…

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The Oscar statue

It's the most wonderful time of the year — our favourite season; awards. Tis that time of the year when awards season junkies come out of hibernation and start predicting who we expect to see recognised throughout awards season. There's much to look forward to; the Golden Globes, BAFTAs, and SAG's but it will all culminate at the 96th Academy Awards next March.

It's been a sublime year for cinema and the 2024 are sure to reflect a wide variety of films. From your critic's darlings like The Zone of Interest, Past Lives, and Poor Things to the box office behemoths – we're looking at you Barbenheimer.

While the 2024 Oscar Nominations aren't announced until the 23rd of January, our awards season prognosticator Luke Hearfield has whipped up an early Oscar Ballot to give you an idea as to which films and performances you're likely to see announced on Oscars morning.

The most blessed and highly favoured films are most likely going to be Christopher Nolan's Oppenheimer, Yorgos Lanthimos' Poor Things, and Martin Scorsese's Killers of the Flower Moon which are all expected to breach 10+ nominations. But there will likely be a modest amount of nominations for Greta Gerwig's Barbie, Alexander Payne's The Holdovers, and Bradley Cooper's Maestro.

Of course, it's all subject to change — it is a race after all, not a marathon. And with the Oscars, you should always expect the unexpected. There's at least one guaranteed shocking surprise — just look at Andrea Riseborough's last-minute arrival in last year's Best Actress lineup.

If you need help deciding how to fill out your predictions, or even what films to seek out over the coming months, then look no further than this helpful ballot. Stay tuned over the coming months to see Luke's updated Oscar Predictions.

Best Picture

  • American Fiction
  • Anatomy of a Fall
  • Barbie
  • The Holdovers
  • Killers of the Flower Moon Maestro
  • Oppenheimer
  • Past Lives
  • Poor Things
  • The Zone of Interest

Alternatives; The Color Purple, Saltburn, The Iron Claw, Air, All of Us Strangers.

Director

  • Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest
  • Greta Gerwig – Barbie
  • Alexander Payne – The Holdovers
  • Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer

Alt: Justine Triet – Anatomy of a Fall, Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things, Celine Song – Past Lives, Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Lead Actor

  • Bradley Cooper – Maestro
  • Colman Domingo – Rustin
    Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers
  • Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer
  • Jeffrey Wright -American Fiction

Alt: Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon, Andrew Scott – All of Us Strangers, Teo Yoo – Past Lives, Koji Yakusho – Perfect Days, Zac Efron – The Iron Claw

Lead Actress

  • Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall
  • Carey Mulligan – Maestro
  • Margot Robbie – Barbie
  • Emma Stone – Poor Things

Alt: Greta Lee – Past Lives, Annette Bening – NYAD, Cailee Spaeny – Priscilla, Natalie Portman – May December, Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple

Supporting Actor

  • Willem Dafoe – Poor Things
  • Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer
  • Ryan Gosling – Barbie
  • Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things

Alt: Charles Melton – May December, Dominic Sessa – The Holdovers, John Magaro – Past Lives, Milo Machado Graner – Anatomy of a Fall

Supporting Actress

  • Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer
  • Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple
  • America Ferrera – Barbie
  • Jodie Foster – NYAD
  • Da'Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Alt: Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple, Julianne Moore – May December, Penelope Cruz – Ferrari, Rosamund Pike – Saltburn, Rachel McAdams – Are You There God? It's Me Margaret, Juliette Binoche – The Taste of Things

Adapted Screenplay

  • American Fiction – Cord Jefferson
  • Barbie – Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach
  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Eric Roth & Martin Scorsese
  • Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan
  • Poor Things – Tony McNamara

Alt: The Zone of Interest – Jonathan Glazer, All of Us Strangers – Andrew Haigh, Are You There God? It's Me Margaret – Kelly Freeman Craig, The Taste of Things – Tràn Ant Hung, Priscilla – Sofia Coppola

Original Screenplay

  • Anatomy of a Fall – Justin Triet & Arthur Harari
  • The Holdovers – David Hemingson
  • May December – Samy Burch & Alex Mechanik
  • Maestro – Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer
  • Past Lives – Celine Song

Alt: Air – Alex Convery, Asteroid City – Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola, Rustin – Julian Breece & Dustin Lance Black

Cinematography

  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Rodrigo Prieto
  • Maestro -Matthew Libatique
  • Oppenheimer – Hoyte Van Hoytema
  • Poor Things – Robbie Ryan
  • The Zone of Interest – Lukasz Zal

Alt: Saltburn – Linus Sandgen, The Color Purple, Dan Laustsen, The Killer – Erik Messerschmidt, The Holdovers – Eigil Bryld

Editing

  • Anatomy of a Fall – Laurent Sénéchal
  • The Holdovers – Kevin Tent
  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Thelma Schoonmaker
  • Oppenheimer – Jennifer Lame
  • Poor Things – Yorgos Mavropsaridis

Alt: Maestro – Michelle Tesoro, Ferrari – Pietro Scalia, Past Lives – Kieth Fraase

Production Design

  • Barbie – Sarah Greenwood & Katie Spencer
  • The Color Purple – Paul D. Austerberry & Larry Dias
  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Jack Fisk & Adam Willis
  • Oppenheimer – Ruth De Jong & Claire Kaufman
  • Poor Things – Shona Heath & James Price

Alt: Asteroid City – Adam Stockhausen, Saltburn – Suzie Davis, Wonka – Nathan Crowley, Ferrari – Maria Djurkovic, Napoleon – Arthur Max & Celia Bobak, Maestro – Kevin Thompson, The Holdovers – Ryan Warren Smith

Costume Design

  • Barbie – Jacqueline Durran
  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Jacqueline West
  • Napoleon – David Crossman & Janty Yates
  • Oppenheimer – Ellen Mirojnick
  • Poor Things – Holly Waddington

Alt: Wonka – Lindy Hemming, The Color Purple – Francine Jamison-Tanchuck, Oppenheimer – Ellen Mirojnick, Maestro – Mark Bridges, Asteroid City – Milena Canonero, Are You There God? It's Me Margaret – Ann Roth, Priscilla – Stacey Battat

Makeup and Hair

  • Golda
  • Maestro
  • Napoleon
  • Oppenheimer
  • Poor Things

Alt: Beau Is Afraid, Ferrari, Killers of the Flower Moon, Society of the Snow

Original Score

  • Elemental – Thomas Newman
  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Robbie Robertson
  • Oppenheimer – Ludwig Göransson
  • Poor Things – Jerskin Fendrix
  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – Daniel Pemberton

Alt: The Boy and the Heron (Joe Hisaishi), Society of Snow (Michael Giacchino), American Fiction (Laura Karpman), The Holdovers (Mark Orton), Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (John Williams), The Zone of Interest (Mica Levi), Barbie (Mark Ronson & Andrew Wyatt)

Original Song

  • American Symphony – “It Never Went Away”
  • Barbie – “I'm Just Ken”
  • Barbie – “What Was I Made For?”
  • Flamin' Hot – “The Fire Inside”
  • Rustin – “Road To Freedom”

Alt: Asteroid City – “Dear Alien (Who Art In Heaven)”, Barbie – “Dance the Night”, The Color Purple – “Keep It Movin'”, The Color Purple – “Superpower”, Flora and Son – “High Life”, Flora and Son – “Meet In The Middle”, The Hunger Games: Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes – “Can't Catch Me Now”, Past Lives – “Quiet Eyes”, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – “Am I Dreaming”, Killers of the Flower Moon – “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)”,

Sound

  • Ferrari
  • Maestro
  • Napoleon
  • Oppenheimer
  • The Zone of Interest

Alt: Barbie, The Killer, Killers of the Flower Moon, The Creator, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One

VFX

  • The Creator
  • Godzilla Minus One
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3
  • Napoleon
  • Poor Things

Alt: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One, Rebel Moon – Part One: A Child of Fire, Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Documentary Feature

  • 20 Days in Mariupol
  • Beyond Utopia
  • Bobi Wine: The People's President
  • Four Daughters
  • Going To Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project

Alt: Alpolonia, Apolonia, Desperate Souls, Dark City and the Legend of Midnight Cowboy, The Eternal Memory, Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie, In the Rearview, Stamped from the Beginning, Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie, A Still Small Voice, 32 Sounds, To Kill a Tiger

International Feature

  • 20 Days in Mariupol – Ukraine
  • Fallen Leaves – Finland
  • Society of the Snow – Spain
  • The Taste of Things – France
  • The Zone of Interest – United Kingdom

Alt: Perfect Days (Japan), The Promised Land (Denmark), The Teachers Lounge (Germany), Tótem (Mexico), The Settlers (Chile)

Animated Feature

  • The Boy and the Heron
  • Elemental
  • Nimona
  • Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
  • Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Alt: Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget, The Peasants, The Super Mario Bros. Movie, Suzume, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem, Robot Dreams, Wish

Animated Short

  • Humo (Smoke)
  • Ninety-Five Senses
  • 27
  • Our Uniform
  • Letter to A Pig

Alt: Boom, Eeva, I'm Hip, A Kind of Testament, Koerkorter (Dog Apartment), Once Upon a Studio, Our Uniform, Pachyderme, Pete, War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko, Wild Summon

Documentary Short

  • The Last Repair Shop
    The Barber of Little Rock
  • The ABCs of Book Banning
  • Last Song from Kabul
  • Camp Courage

Alt: Bear, Between Earth & Sky, Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Game, Deciding Vote, How We Get Free, Island in Between, Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó, Oasis, If Dreams Were Lightning: Rural Healthcare Crisis, Wings of Dust

Live Action Short

  • The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
  • Strange Way of Life
  • Yellow
  • The After
  • An Avocado Pit

Alt: The Anne Frank Gift Shop, An Avocado Pit, Bienvenidos a Los Angeles, Dead Cat, Good Boy, Invincible, Invisible Border, Knight of Fortune, The One Note Man, Red, White and Blue, The Shepherd